Jared Hyatt
Age: 25
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
79 |
87 |
14 |
37 |
48 |
4 |
52 |
48 |
5.47 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
58 |
78 |
35 |
32 |
16 |
5 |
7.91 |
| 20th |
63 |
80 |
35 |
36 |
15 |
5 |
7.14 |
| 30th |
69 |
83 |
36 |
40 |
15 |
4 |
6.39 |
| 40th |
74 |
85 |
36 |
44 |
14 |
4 |
5.84 |
| 50th |
79 |
87 |
37 |
48 |
14 |
4 |
5.47 |
| 60th |
81 |
86 |
36 |
50 |
13 |
4 |
5.00 |
| 70th |
84 |
85 |
35 |
53 |
12 |
3 |
4.61 |
| 80th |
87 |
83 |
34 |
56 |
11 |
3 |
4.14 |
| 90th |
91 |
80 |
32 |
60 |
9 |
2 |
3.46 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
80 |
84 |
37 |
52 |
13 |
4 |
5.08 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
| 2010 |
26 |
72 |
76 |
33 |
47 |
12 |
3 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
27 |
65 |
69 |
29 |
42 |
11 |
3 |
5.12 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
58 |
62 |
26 |
37 |
10 |
3 |
5.21 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
| 2013 |
29 |
53 |
56 |
23 |
33 |
9 |
2 |
5.05 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
30 |
47 |
51 |
21 |
29 |
8 |
2 |
5.24 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.