Baseball Projection.com

Brandon Hynick

Age: 24 Team: COL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	9	129	158	26	43	70	6	90	83	5.79	22	22

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	97	137	40	49	26	7	7.52
20th	106	142	40	54	26	7	6.88
30th	114	147	41	60	26	6	6.39
40th	121	153	42	65	26	6	6.10
50th	129	158	43	70	26	6	5.79
60th	133	158	42	73	25	6	5.48
70th	137	157	41	76	24	5	5.12
80th	141	155	40	80	22	4	4.72
90th	146	153	38	84	20	3	4.25

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

8 0.8 3.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 131 153 43 70 24 6 5.39 1.0 0.2 0.8

2010 25 118 138 38 63 22 6 5.42 1.0 0.2 0.9

2011 26 106 125 33 56 20 5 5.44 1.0 0.1 0.5

2012 27 96 113 29 50 18 5 5.41 1.0 0.1 0.6

2013 28 86 102 26 45 16 4 5.43 1.0 0.1 0.6

2014 29 78 91 23 40 14 4 5.28 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
8	0.8	3.9

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	131	153	43	70	24	6	5.39	1.0	0.2	0.8
2010	25	118	138	38	63	22	6	5.42	1.0	0.2	0.9
2011	26	106	125	33	56	20	5	5.44	1.0	0.1	0.5
2012	27	96	113	29	50	18	5	5.41	1.0	0.1	0.6
2013	28	86	102	26	45	16	4	5.43	1.0	0.1	0.6
2014	29	78	91	23	40	14	4	5.28	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.