Baseball Projection.com

Yosandy Ibanez

Age: 27 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 26 29 4 18 17 1 19 18 6.23 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 26 17 11 5 2 9.00
20th 21 28 17 12 5 1 8.14
30th 23 28 17 14 4 1 7.04
40th 25 28 18 15 4 1 6.12
50th 26 29 18 17 4 1 6.23
60th 27 29 18 18 4 1 5.67
70th 28 28 17 19 3 1 4.82
80th 30 27 16 21 3 0 3.90
90th 31 26 15 22 2 0 3.19

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 27 28 18 18 4 1 5.42 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 24 26 16 16 4 1 5.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 22 23 14 14 3 1 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 19 21 13 13 3 1 5.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 17 19 12 11 3 1 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 15 17 11 10 2 1 6.11 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.