Baseball Projection.com

Jason Isringhausen

Age: 36 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 48 48 5 25 36 3 26 24 4.5 49 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 35 43 23 24 6 4 6.94
20th 38 45 24 27 6 3 6.39
30th 42 45 24 30 5 3 5.14
40th 45 47 25 33 5 3 5.00
50th 48 48 25 36 5 3 4.50
60th 49 48 25 38 5 3 4.41
70th 51 47 24 40 4 2 3.71
80th 53 46 23 42 3 2 3.23
90th 55 45 22 44 3 2 3.11

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 36 48 49 24 38 5 3 4.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 37 43 45 22 33 5 2 4.83 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 38 38 40 21 29 4 2 4.91 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 39 34 36 19 26 4 2 5.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 40 31 32 17 22 3 2 4.77 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 41 28 29 16 19 3 2 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.