Baseball Projection.com

Kyle Jackson

Age: 26 Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 45 47 7 30 33 2 30 28 5.6 42 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 34 42 27 23 8 2 7.68
20th 36 44 28 25 8 2 7.50
30th 40 44 29 28 7 2 6.30
40th 42 46 29 30 7 2 6.00
50th 45 47 30 33 7 2 5.60
60th 46 47 30 34 7 2 5.48
70th 48 46 29 36 6 2 4.69
80th 50 45 28 38 5 1 3.96
90th 52 44 27 41 5 1 3.63

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 46 46 30 36 7 2 5.25 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 41 42 27 32 7 2 5.54 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 37 38 23 29 6 1 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 34 34 21 26 5 1 5.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 30 31 19 23 5 1 5.45 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 27 28 17 20 4 1 5.34 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.