Chuck James
Age: 27
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
7 |
124 |
124 |
20 |
54 |
92 |
5 |
71 |
66 |
4.79 |
24 |
24 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
94 |
107 |
48 |
67 |
20 |
6 |
6.03 |
| 20th |
102 |
112 |
50 |
73 |
20 |
5 |
5.65 |
| 30th |
110 |
115 |
51 |
80 |
20 |
5 |
5.24 |
| 40th |
116 |
120 |
53 |
86 |
20 |
5 |
5.04 |
| 50th |
124 |
124 |
54 |
92 |
20 |
5 |
4.79 |
| 60th |
127 |
124 |
53 |
95 |
19 |
5 |
4.54 |
| 70th |
131 |
123 |
53 |
99 |
18 |
4 |
4.19 |
| 80th |
134 |
122 |
52 |
103 |
17 |
4 |
3.90 |
| 90th |
138 |
121 |
50 |
107 |
16 |
3 |
3.65 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
123 |
128 |
54 |
86 |
21 |
5 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
| 2010 |
28 |
111 |
116 |
48 |
76 |
19 |
4 |
5.00 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.2 |
| 2011 |
29 |
100 |
104 |
42 |
68 |
17 |
4 |
4.95 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
| 2012 |
30 |
90 |
94 |
38 |
61 |
15 |
3 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
| 2013 |
31 |
80 |
85 |
35 |
54 |
14 |
3 |
5.13 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
32 |
72 |
76 |
32 |
47 |
12 |
3 |
5.08 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.