Baseball Projection.com

Jimmy James

Age: 24 Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 50 62 11 30 24 2 41 38 6.84 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 57 29 14 13 3 10.50
20th 39 58 29 17 12 3 9.46
30th 43 60 29 19 12 2 8.37
40th 47 60 30 22 11 2 7.28
50th 50 62 30 24 11 2 6.84
60th 52 61 29 26 10 2 6.06
70th 54 60 28 27 9 1 5.33
80th 57 58 27 30 8 1 4.74
90th 60 56 25 32 6 0 3.90

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 50 62 30 26 12 2 6.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 46 55 27 23 10 2 6.53 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 41 50 23 21 9 2 6.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 37 45 21 19 8 2 6.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 33 41 18 17 8 2 6.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 30 37 16 15 7 1 6.63 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.