Baseball Projection.com

Bobby Jenks

Age: 28 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 66 65 5 20 55 2 29 27 3.68 67 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 49 58 19 38 6 3 5.33
20th 53 60 19 43 6 2 4.75
30th 58 61 20 47 5 2 4.19
40th 62 63 20 51 5 2 3.92
50th 66 65 20 55 5 2 3.68
60th 67 65 19 57 5 2 3.49
70th 70 64 19 60 4 1 3.09
80th 72 62 18 63 3 1 2.63
90th 74 61 17 66 3 1 2.43

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
11 1.7 7.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 67 61 20 59 4 2 3.16 1.6 1.7 7.3
2010 29 60 56 17 52 4 2 3.29 1.5 1.3 6.1
2011 30 54 50 16 46 3 2 3.21 1.5 1.3 7.0
2012 31 49 45 15 41 3 1 3.20 1.6 1.2 6.9
2013 32 43 42 13 36 3 1 3.52 1.2 0.6 3.8
2014 33 39 38 12 32 3 1 3.58 1.2 0.6 3.9

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.