Baseball Projection.com

Waldis Joaquin

Age: 22 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 28 4 17 22 1 17 16 5.33 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 26 16 14 5 2 9.00
20th 21 27 16 16 5 1 7.71
30th 23 27 17 18 4 1 6.65
40th 25 27 17 20 4 1 5.76
50th 27 28 17 22 4 1 5.33
60th 28 28 17 23 4 1 5.14
70th 29 27 16 24 3 1 4.34
80th 30 27 15 26 3 0 3.90
90th 32 25 14 28 2 0 2.81

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 27 28 17 21 4 1 5.31 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 24 26 15 19 4 1 5.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 22 23 13 18 4 1 5.50 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 20 20 12 16 3 1 5.09 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 18 19 10 14 3 1 5.38 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 16 17 9 13 3 1 5.60 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.