Baseball Projection.com

Christopher Johnson

Age: 24 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
116	443	48	112	23	1	10	64	4	1	21	104	2	0.253	0.290	0.377	-27	3B	3.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	18	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0.222	0.263	0.278
20th	-10	0	125	28	5	0	2	5	32	0	0.224	0.254	0.312
30th	-18	0	233	54	10	0	4	9	58	0	0.232	0.260	0.326
40th	-20	0	338	81	16	1	6	15	82	1	0.240	0.274	0.346
50th	-20	0	443	112	23	1	10	21	104	2	0.253	0.290	0.377
60th	-15	1	478	126	27	2	12	25	108	3	0.264	0.304	0.404
70th	-9	8	513	141	32	3	14	29	112	4	0.275	0.319	0.431
80th	1	20	548	158	37	4	17	33	116	5	0.288	0.334	0.464
90th	9	29	582	175	42	5	20	37	118	6	0.301	0.349	0.493

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	443	111	23	1	9	4	1	21	103	2	0.251	0.288	0.368
2010	25	443	111	24	1	9	4	1	21	101	2	0.251	0.288	0.370
2011	26	442	112	24	1	9	4	1	22	98	2	0.253	0.292	0.373
2012	27	441	111	24	1	9	3	1	23	97	2	0.252	0.292	0.372
2013	28	441	110	24	1	9	3	1	23	97	2	0.249	0.290	0.370
2014	29	440	108	23	1	9	3	1	24	97	2	0.245	0.288	0.364

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-2	--	-10	-14	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.4	6.2
Good (+7 runs)	1	4.4
Average (0 runs)	0.7	3.1
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	19

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.