Randy Johnson
Age: 45
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
6 |
109 |
108 |
13 |
30 |
96 |
4 |
52 |
48 |
3.96 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
84 |
93 |
27 |
71 |
13 |
4 |
4.82 |
| 20th |
90 |
97 |
28 |
77 |
13 |
4 |
4.60 |
| 30th |
97 |
100 |
28 |
84 |
13 |
4 |
4.27 |
| 40th |
103 |
104 |
29 |
90 |
13 |
4 |
4.11 |
| 50th |
109 |
108 |
30 |
96 |
13 |
4 |
3.96 |
| 60th |
112 |
107 |
30 |
99 |
12 |
4 |
3.62 |
| 70th |
115 |
108 |
29 |
102 |
12 |
3 |
3.52 |
| 80th |
118 |
107 |
28 |
106 |
11 |
3 |
3.28 |
| 90th |
121 |
106 |
27 |
110 |
10 |
3 |
3.05 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 18 |
1.7 |
7.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
45 |
109 |
110 |
30 |
91 |
14 |
4 |
4.08 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
8.0 |
| 2010 |
46 |
97 |
100 |
28 |
79 |
13 |
4 |
4.27 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
6.9 |
| 2011 |
47 |
87 |
91 |
25 |
69 |
12 |
3 |
4.34 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
6.6 |
| 2012 |
48 |
78 |
83 |
23 |
60 |
12 |
3 |
4.57 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
5.0 |
| 2013 |
49 |
70 |
75 |
21 |
52 |
11 |
3 |
4.66 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
4.3 |
| 2014 |
50 |
62 |
68 |
20 |
44 |
10 |
3 |
4.88 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.