Steven Johnson
Age: 21
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 2 |
4 |
55 |
62 |
12 |
34 |
37 |
2 |
41 |
38 |
6.22 |
12 |
12 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
39 |
57 |
33 |
24 |
14 |
3 |
9.92 |
| 20th |
43 |
58 |
33 |
27 |
13 |
3 |
8.58 |
| 30th |
48 |
59 |
33 |
31 |
13 |
2 |
7.50 |
| 40th |
51 |
60 |
34 |
34 |
12 |
2 |
6.88 |
| 50th |
55 |
62 |
34 |
37 |
12 |
2 |
6.22 |
| 60th |
57 |
61 |
33 |
39 |
11 |
2 |
5.68 |
| 70th |
59 |
60 |
32 |
41 |
10 |
1 |
5.03 |
| 80th |
62 |
58 |
31 |
44 |
9 |
1 |
4.50 |
| 90th |
65 |
55 |
29 |
48 |
7 |
0 |
3.60 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
55 |
63 |
34 |
34 |
11 |
2 |
6.23 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
49 |
57 |
30 |
31 |
10 |
2 |
6.35 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
45 |
51 |
26 |
29 |
9 |
2 |
6.07 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
40 |
46 |
23 |
27 |
8 |
2 |
6.16 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
37 |
41 |
21 |
24 |
7 |
1 |
5.78 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
33 |
38 |
18 |
22 |
7 |
1 |
6.11 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.