Christopher Jones
Age: 25
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
82 |
103 |
17 |
34 |
44 |
3 |
61 |
56 |
6.15 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
94 |
34 |
27 |
20 |
4 |
9.61 |
| 20th |
65 |
96 |
34 |
32 |
19 |
4 |
8.31 |
| 30th |
71 |
98 |
34 |
36 |
18 |
4 |
7.35 |
| 40th |
77 |
101 |
34 |
40 |
18 |
3 |
6.78 |
| 50th |
82 |
103 |
34 |
44 |
17 |
3 |
6.15 |
| 60th |
85 |
101 |
33 |
47 |
16 |
3 |
5.72 |
| 70th |
89 |
99 |
32 |
50 |
14 |
2 |
4.96 |
| 80th |
92 |
97 |
30 |
53 |
12 |
1 |
4.30 |
| 90th |
96 |
93 |
27 |
58 |
10 |
1 |
3.75 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
83 |
102 |
34 |
48 |
18 |
3 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
74 |
92 |
30 |
43 |
16 |
3 |
6.19 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
67 |
84 |
27 |
38 |
15 |
2 |
6.25 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
61 |
75 |
23 |
34 |
13 |
2 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
54 |
68 |
21 |
30 |
12 |
2 |
6.25 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
49 |
61 |
19 |
27 |
11 |
2 |
6.20 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.