Baseball Projection.com

Hunter Jones

Age: 25 Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 53 55 7 21 41 2 29 27 4.58 47 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 39 49 20 28 8 3 6.69
20th 43 51 20 31 8 2 5.86
30th 47 52 20 35 7 2 5.17
40th 50 53 21 38 7 2 4.86
50th 53 55 21 41 7 2 4.58
60th 55 54 20 43 6 2 4.09
70th 56 54 20 45 6 2 4.02
80th 59 53 19 47 5 1 3.36
90th 61 51 18 50 4 1 2.80

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 54 53 21 45 7 2 4.26 1.0 0.2 0.8
2010 26 48 49 19 40 7 2 4.59 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 44 44 16 36 6 1 4.29 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 28 40 39 15 32 5 1 4.14 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 29 35 36 13 28 5 1 4.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 32 32 12 25 4 1 4.27 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.