Justin Jones
Age: 24
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
78 |
88 |
12 |
42 |
50 |
4 |
53 |
49 |
5.65 |
16 |
16 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
57 |
78 |
39 |
34 |
13 |
5 |
8.05 |
| 20th |
63 |
80 |
40 |
38 |
13 |
5 |
7.14 |
| 30th |
68 |
83 |
40 |
42 |
13 |
4 |
6.49 |
| 40th |
73 |
85 |
41 |
46 |
12 |
4 |
5.92 |
| 50th |
78 |
88 |
42 |
50 |
12 |
4 |
5.65 |
| 60th |
81 |
87 |
41 |
52 |
11 |
4 |
5.11 |
| 70th |
83 |
86 |
40 |
55 |
10 |
3 |
4.66 |
| 80th |
86 |
85 |
39 |
58 |
9 |
3 |
4.29 |
| 90th |
89 |
83 |
37 |
62 |
8 |
2 |
3.74 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
78 |
88 |
42 |
47 |
12 |
4 |
5.61 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
70 |
80 |
37 |
42 |
11 |
4 |
5.70 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
63 |
72 |
33 |
37 |
10 |
4 |
5.72 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
57 |
65 |
29 |
34 |
9 |
3 |
5.62 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
51 |
59 |
25 |
30 |
8 |
3 |
5.66 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
46 |
53 |
23 |
27 |
7 |
3 |
5.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.