Baseball Projection.com

Sung Jung

Age: 29 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 42 46 7 19 28 2 27 25 5.36 38 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 30 42 19 18 8 3 8.40
20th 33 43 19 20 8 3 7.36
30th 36 44 19 23 8 2 6.50
40th 39 45 19 26 7 2 5.77
50th 42 46 19 28 7 2 5.36
60th 44 45 18 30 6 2 4.50
70th 45 45 18 31 6 1 4.40
80th 47 43 17 33 5 1 3.64
90th 50 41 15 36 4 0 2.88

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 42 47 19 26 7 2 5.40 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 37 43 17 23 7 2 5.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 33 39 16 20 6 2 5.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 30 34 15 18 5 2 5.67 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 27 32 13 16 5 1 5.91 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 24 28 12 14 4 1 5.76 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.