Baseball Projection.com

Shane Justis

Age: 26 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
113	349	44	88	17	2	4	42	8	3	32	59	4	0.252	0.322	0.347	-22	3B	5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-1	0	14	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.214	0.267	0.214
20th	-7	0	101	22	3	0	1	7	19	0	0.218	0.269	0.277
30th	-13	0	184	42	7	1	1	15	34	1	0.228	0.290	0.293
40th	-13	0	268	64	12	1	2	23	47	2	0.239	0.304	0.313
50th	-14	0	349	88	17	2	4	32	59	4	0.252	0.322	0.347
60th	-9	4	378	99	20	3	5	37	61	5	0.262	0.336	0.370
70th	-4	11	408	112	24	4	6	42	63	6	0.275	0.351	0.397
80th	4	20	436	125	28	5	8	48	64	7	0.287	0.367	0.429
90th	12	29	464	138	32	6	9	54	65	9	0.297	0.381	0.450

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	351	88	18	2	4	7	3	30	58	4	0.251	0.317	0.348
2010	27	351	88	18	2	4	7	3	30	57	4	0.251	0.317	0.348
2011	28	350	87	18	2	4	7	3	31	57	4	0.249	0.317	0.346
2012	29	349	85	17	2	4	6	3	32	57	4	0.244	0.314	0.338
2013	30	332	80	16	2	3	6	3	31	55	3	0.241	0.311	0.328
2014	31	315	75	15	1	3	5	2	30	52	3	0.238	0.310	0.321

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-2	-1	-9	-12	2	-6	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.5	6.6
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.8	3.5
Poor (-7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	9

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.