Baseball Projection.com

Jeffrey Kamrath

Age: 27 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 26 30 5 18 16 1 20 19 6.58 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 27 17 10 6 2 9.47
20th 21 28 17 12 6 1 8.14
30th 22 29 17 13 5 1 7.77
40th 24 29 18 14 5 1 7.13
50th 26 30 18 16 5 1 6.58
60th 27 30 18 17 5 1 6.33
70th 28 29 17 18 4 1 5.46
80th 30 28 16 20 4 0 4.50
90th 31 27 15 21 3 0 3.77

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 26 30 18 17 5 1 6.42 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 23 28 16 15 5 1 6.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 21 25 14 13 4 1 6.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 19 23 13 12 4 1 6.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 17 20 12 10 3 1 6.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 15 18 11 9 3 1 6.94 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.