Baseball Projection.com

Kenshin Kawakami

Age: 34 Team: ATL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	6	123	121	14	32	113	5	57	53	3.88	19	19

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	94	105	29	83	15	6	4.98
20th	102	108	30	91	14	5	4.41
30th	109	112	31	98	14	5	4.21
40th	116	117	31	106	14	5	4.03
50th	123	121	32	113	14	5	3.88
60th	127	120	31	117	13	5	3.54
70th	129	121	31	120	13	4	3.49
80th	133	119	30	125	12	4	3.18
90th	137	117	29	130	10	3	2.82

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

21 2.0 9.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 122 126 32 105 15 5 4.12 1.0 2.0 8.8

2010 35 110 113 29 93 13 4 4.06 1.0 1.9 9.2

2011 36 98 102 27 82 12 4 4.19 1.0 1.5 8.1

2012 37 88 93 25 72 11 3 4.29 1.0 1.2 7.3

2013 38 79 84 23 63 10 3 4.36 1.0 1.0 6.7

2014 39 71 76 21 55 9 3 4.42 1.0 0.9 6.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
21	2.0	9.2

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	34	122	126	32	105	15	5	4.12	1.0	2.0	8.8
2010	35	110	113	29	93	13	4	4.06	1.0	1.9	9.2
2011	36	98	102	27	82	12	4	4.19	1.0	1.5	8.1
2012	37	88	93	25	72	11	3	4.29	1.0	1.2	7.3
2013	38	79	84	23	63	10	3	4.36	1.0	1.0	6.7
2014	39	71	76	21	55	9	3	4.42	1.0	0.9	6.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.