Scott Kazmir
Age: 25
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 11 |
7 |
161 |
136 |
18 |
67 |
175 |
5 |
69 |
64 |
3.58 |
27 |
27 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
124 |
117 |
59 |
130 |
18 |
6 |
4.43 |
| 20th |
133 |
122 |
61 |
142 |
18 |
5 |
4.20 |
| 30th |
143 |
126 |
63 |
153 |
18 |
5 |
3.90 |
| 40th |
152 |
131 |
65 |
164 |
18 |
5 |
3.73 |
| 50th |
161 |
136 |
67 |
175 |
18 |
5 |
3.58 |
| 60th |
165 |
135 |
67 |
180 |
17 |
5 |
3.33 |
| 70th |
169 |
136 |
66 |
186 |
17 |
4 |
3.20 |
| 80th |
173 |
134 |
65 |
192 |
15 |
4 |
2.91 |
| 90th |
178 |
132 |
64 |
199 |
14 |
3 |
2.73 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 38 |
3.6 |
16.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
161 |
137 |
66 |
184 |
18 |
5 |
3.56 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
15.9 |
| 2010 |
26 |
145 |
124 |
58 |
165 |
16 |
4 |
3.54 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
16.1 |
| 2011 |
27 |
131 |
113 |
51 |
147 |
15 |
4 |
3.58 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
15.7 |
| 2012 |
28 |
118 |
102 |
45 |
131 |
13 |
4 |
3.55 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
15.6 |
| 2013 |
29 |
106 |
92 |
40 |
117 |
12 |
3 |
3.57 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
15.3 |
| 2014 |
30 |
95 |
83 |
37 |
104 |
11 |
3 |
3.65 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
14.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.