Ian Kennedy
Age: 24
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
5 |
101 |
98 |
12 |
43 |
83 |
4 |
52 |
48 |
4.28 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
76 |
86 |
39 |
59 |
13 |
5 |
5.68 |
| 20th |
82 |
89 |
40 |
65 |
13 |
5 |
5.27 |
| 30th |
89 |
92 |
41 |
71 |
12 |
4 |
4.75 |
| 40th |
95 |
95 |
42 |
77 |
12 |
4 |
4.45 |
| 50th |
101 |
98 |
43 |
83 |
12 |
4 |
4.28 |
| 60th |
104 |
97 |
42 |
86 |
11 |
4 |
3.89 |
| 70th |
106 |
97 |
42 |
89 |
11 |
3 |
3.74 |
| 80th |
110 |
96 |
40 |
94 |
10 |
3 |
3.44 |
| 90th |
114 |
93 |
39 |
98 |
8 |
2 |
2.92 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 18 |
1.7 |
7.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
102 |
95 |
44 |
88 |
11 |
4 |
3.99 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
8.0 |
| 2010 |
25 |
92 |
85 |
39 |
79 |
10 |
4 |
3.96 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
7.8 |
| 2011 |
26 |
82 |
77 |
35 |
71 |
9 |
4 |
4.06 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
7.6 |
| 2012 |
27 |
74 |
70 |
31 |
63 |
8 |
3 |
4.04 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
7.3 |
| 2013 |
28 |
67 |
64 |
27 |
56 |
8 |
3 |
4.13 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
6.7 |
| 2014 |
29 |
60 |
57 |
24 |
50 |
7 |
3 |
4.10 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
6.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.