Kasey Kiker
Age: 21
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
82 |
97 |
18 |
46 |
51 |
5 |
64 |
59 |
6.48 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
87 |
44 |
33 |
20 |
6 |
9.61 |
| 20th |
65 |
89 |
44 |
38 |
19 |
6 |
8.45 |
| 30th |
71 |
92 |
44 |
42 |
19 |
6 |
7.61 |
| 40th |
76 |
94 |
45 |
47 |
18 |
5 |
6.99 |
| 50th |
82 |
97 |
46 |
51 |
18 |
5 |
6.48 |
| 60th |
85 |
96 |
45 |
54 |
17 |
4 |
5.93 |
| 70th |
87 |
95 |
44 |
57 |
16 |
4 |
5.59 |
| 80th |
91 |
92 |
42 |
61 |
14 |
3 |
4.75 |
| 90th |
95 |
89 |
40 |
65 |
12 |
2 |
4.07 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
83 |
93 |
46 |
56 |
17 |
5 |
6.00 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
75 |
84 |
41 |
51 |
15 |
4 |
5.92 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
68 |
75 |
36 |
47 |
13 |
4 |
5.74 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
61 |
67 |
32 |
44 |
12 |
3 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
55 |
61 |
28 |
40 |
11 |
3 |
5.76 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
50 |
55 |
25 |
35 |
10 |
3 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.