Chris Kinsey
Age: 26
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 2 |
6 |
73 |
91 |
14 |
45 |
40 |
3 |
58 |
54 |
6.66 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
53 |
81 |
42 |
26 |
15 |
4 |
9.51 |
| 20th |
58 |
83 |
43 |
30 |
15 |
4 |
8.69 |
| 30th |
63 |
86 |
43 |
33 |
15 |
3 |
7.86 |
| 40th |
68 |
88 |
44 |
37 |
14 |
3 |
7.15 |
| 50th |
73 |
91 |
45 |
40 |
14 |
3 |
6.66 |
| 60th |
75 |
90 |
44 |
42 |
13 |
3 |
6.24 |
| 70th |
78 |
90 |
43 |
44 |
12 |
2 |
5.65 |
| 80th |
81 |
88 |
42 |
47 |
11 |
2 |
5.11 |
| 90th |
84 |
85 |
40 |
51 |
9 |
1 |
4.39 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
74 |
89 |
44 |
39 |
13 |
3 |
6.26 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
66 |
81 |
39 |
34 |
12 |
3 |
6.44 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
60 |
73 |
34 |
31 |
11 |
2 |
6.28 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
54 |
66 |
30 |
27 |
10 |
2 |
6.30 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
48 |
60 |
28 |
24 |
9 |
2 |
6.56 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
44 |
53 |
25 |
22 |
8 |
2 |
6.25 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.