Baseball Projection.com

George Kontos

Age: 24 Team: NYA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	6	98	106	19	49	76	4	65	60	5.51	19	19

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	73	94	45	53	20	5	7.52
20th	79	96	46	59	19	5	6.84
30th	86	99	47	65	19	4	6.17
40th	92	103	48	70	19	4	5.87
50th	98	106	49	76	19	4	5.51
60th	101	105	48	79	18	4	5.08
70th	104	105	48	82	17	3	4.85
80th	107	103	46	86	16	3	4.46
90th	111	101	44	91	14	2	3.89

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 98 103 51 80 18 4 5.34 1.0 0.2 0.8

2010 25 89 92 45 73 16 3 5.17 1.0 0.4 1.8

2011 26 80 84 39 65 15 3 5.26 1.0 0.3 1.5

2012 27 72 76 35 58 13 3 5.25 1.0 0.3 1.7

2013 28 65 69 31 52 12 2 5.25 1.0 0.2 1.2

2014 29 59 62 27 46 11 2 5.17 1.0 0.3 2.0

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
7	0.7	3.5

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	98	103	51	80	18	4	5.34	1.0	0.2	0.8
2010	25	89	92	45	73	16	3	5.17	1.0	0.4	1.8
2011	26	80	84	39	65	15	3	5.26	1.0	0.3	1.5
2012	27	72	76	35	58	13	3	5.25	1.0	0.3	1.7
2013	28	65	69	31	52	12	2	5.25	1.0	0.2	1.2
2014	29	59	62	27	46	11	2	5.17	1.0	0.3	2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.