Hong-Chih Kuo
Age: 27
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
2 |
45 |
38 |
3 |
15 |
55 |
2 |
16 |
15 |
3 |
37 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
34 |
34 |
14 |
40 |
4 |
2 |
4.50 |
| 20th |
37 |
35 |
14 |
44 |
3 |
2 |
3.89 |
| 30th |
40 |
36 |
15 |
47 |
3 |
2 |
3.60 |
| 40th |
42 |
37 |
15 |
51 |
3 |
2 |
3.43 |
| 50th |
45 |
38 |
15 |
55 |
3 |
2 |
3.00 |
| 60th |
46 |
38 |
15 |
57 |
3 |
2 |
2.93 |
| 70th |
48 |
37 |
14 |
59 |
2 |
2 |
2.44 |
| 80th |
50 |
36 |
14 |
62 |
2 |
1 |
2.16 |
| 90th |
51 |
35 |
13 |
65 |
1 |
1 |
1.76 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
45 |
40 |
15 |
50 |
3 |
2 |
3.24 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
4.4 |
| 2010 |
28 |
40 |
37 |
13 |
45 |
3 |
2 |
3.46 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
| 2011 |
29 |
36 |
33 |
12 |
40 |
2 |
1 |
3.24 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
4.6 |
| 2012 |
30 |
32 |
30 |
11 |
36 |
2 |
1 |
3.42 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
3.0 |
| 2013 |
31 |
29 |
27 |
10 |
31 |
2 |
1 |
3.45 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
| 2014 |
32 |
26 |
25 |
9 |
28 |
2 |
1 |
3.66 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
2.2 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.