Hiroki Kuroda
Age: 34
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 9 |
8 |
158 |
167 |
16 |
40 |
106 |
6 |
77 |
71 |
4.04 |
24 |
24 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
121 |
142 |
36 |
78 |
16 |
7 |
5.06 |
| 20th |
130 |
149 |
37 |
85 |
16 |
6 |
4.71 |
| 30th |
140 |
154 |
38 |
92 |
16 |
6 |
4.37 |
| 40th |
149 |
161 |
39 |
99 |
16 |
6 |
4.23 |
| 50th |
158 |
167 |
40 |
106 |
16 |
6 |
4.04 |
| 60th |
161 |
167 |
39 |
109 |
15 |
6 |
3.86 |
| 70th |
165 |
168 |
39 |
113 |
15 |
5 |
3.71 |
| 80th |
169 |
167 |
38 |
117 |
14 |
5 |
3.51 |
| 90th |
174 |
165 |
37 |
122 |
12 |
4 |
3.21 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 23 |
2.2 |
10.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
34 |
156 |
173 |
40 |
97 |
15 |
6 |
4.27 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
10.1 |
| 2010 |
35 |
139 |
157 |
37 |
85 |
14 |
5 |
4.41 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
8.8 |
| 2011 |
36 |
125 |
141 |
34 |
75 |
12 |
5 |
4.40 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
8.6 |
| 2012 |
37 |
113 |
127 |
31 |
66 |
11 |
4 |
4.39 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
8.9 |
| 2013 |
38 |
101 |
115 |
28 |
58 |
10 |
4 |
4.49 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
8.0 |
| 2014 |
39 |
91 |
104 |
26 |
51 |
9 |
3 |
4.52 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
7.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.