Baseball Projection.com

B.J. LaMura

Age: 28 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 43 43 6 24 38 2 25 23 4.81 39 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 32 38 22 27 7 2 6.75
20th 35 39 22 30 6 2 5.91
30th 38 40 23 33 6 2 5.45
40th 41 42 23 35 6 2 5.05
50th 43 43 24 38 6 2 4.81
60th 44 43 24 39 6 2 4.70
70th 46 42 23 41 5 2 4.11
80th 47 42 23 43 5 1 3.83
90th 49 41 22 45 4 1 3.49

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 43 45 24 35 6 2 5.15 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 39 40 21 31 5 2 4.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 34 37 19 27 5 2 5.45 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 31 33 18 24 4 1 5.19 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 28 30 16 22 4 1 5.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 25 27 15 19 3 1 5.28 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.