Baseball Projection.com

Andrew Laughter

Age: 24 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 35 41 7 19 21 1 26 24 6.17 33 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 25 37 19 13 8 2 9.36
20th 28 38 19 15 8 2 8.36
30th 30 39 19 17 7 1 7.20
40th 33 40 19 19 7 1 6.55
50th 35 41 19 21 7 1 6.17
60th 37 40 18 22 6 1 5.11
70th 38 39 18 24 6 1 4.74
80th 40 38 17 26 5 0 4.28
90th 42 36 16 28 4 0 3.43

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 36 39 19 23 6 1 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 32 35 17 21 6 1 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 29 32 15 18 5 1 5.49 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 26 29 13 16 5 1 5.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 24 26 12 15 4 1 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 21 24 10 13 4 1 5.74 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.