Baseball Projection.com

Brandon League

Age: 26 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 61 60 4 24 44 3 28 26 3.84 52 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 46 53 23 30 5 4 5.48
20th 49 55 23 33 5 4 5.14
30th 54 56 23 37 4 3 4.17
40th 57 58 24 40 4 3 4.11
50th 61 60 24 44 4 3 3.84
60th 63 60 23 46 4 3 3.57
70th 65 59 23 48 3 2 3.18
80th 67 58 22 51 3 2 2.82
90th 70 56 21 54 2 1 2.44

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 61 60 24 47 4 3 3.80 1.0 0.5 2.1
2010 27 55 54 21 42 3 3 3.69 1.1 0.6 2.9
2011 28 50 49 19 37 3 3 3.74 1.0 0.5 2.6
2012 29 45 45 16 33 3 2 3.77 1.0 0.4 2.2
2013 30 40 40 15 29 2 2 3.72 1.0 0.4 2.5
2014 31 36 36 14 26 2 2 3.81 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.