Derek Lee
Age: 34
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
65 |
80 |
10 |
28 |
30 |
2 |
45 |
42 |
5.82 |
12 |
12 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
47 |
72 |
27 |
19 |
12 |
3 |
8.62 |
| 20th |
52 |
73 |
27 |
22 |
11 |
3 |
7.44 |
| 30th |
57 |
76 |
27 |
25 |
11 |
2 |
6.79 |
| 40th |
61 |
78 |
28 |
27 |
10 |
2 |
6.20 |
| 50th |
65 |
80 |
28 |
30 |
10 |
2 |
5.82 |
| 60th |
67 |
79 |
27 |
32 |
9 |
2 |
5.37 |
| 70th |
69 |
78 |
27 |
34 |
8 |
1 |
4.83 |
| 80th |
72 |
77 |
25 |
36 |
7 |
1 |
4.25 |
| 90th |
75 |
74 |
24 |
39 |
6 |
0 |
3.72 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
34 |
66 |
77 |
28 |
33 |
9 |
2 |
5.30 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
| 2010 |
35 |
59 |
69 |
26 |
29 |
8 |
2 |
5.37 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
36 |
53 |
62 |
24 |
25 |
7 |
2 |
5.40 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
37 |
47 |
57 |
22 |
22 |
7 |
2 |
5.79 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
38 |
42 |
51 |
20 |
19 |
6 |
2 |
5.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
39 |
38 |
47 |
18 |
17 |
6 |
1 |
5.94 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.