Baseball Projection.com

Sammy Leon

Age: 24 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 26 30 4 19 17 1 20 19 6.58 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 18 27 18 11 5 2 10.00
20th 20 28 18 12 5 1 8.55
30th 22 28 18 14 4 1 7.77
40th 24 29 19 15 4 1 7.13
50th 26 30 19 17 4 1 6.58
60th 26 30 19 18 4 1 6.58
70th 28 29 18 19 3 1 5.14
80th 29 29 17 21 3 0 4.66
90th 31 27 16 22 2 0 3.48

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 26 29 19 18 4 1 6.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 23 27 17 16 4 1 6.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 21 24 15 15 3 1 6.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 19 22 13 13 3 1 6.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 17 20 12 12 3 1 6.53 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 15 18 10 10 3 1 6.73 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.