Anthony Lerew
Age: 26
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
66 |
72 |
10 |
32 |
43 |
3 |
41 |
38 |
5.18 |
14 |
14 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
48 |
65 |
31 |
28 |
12 |
4 |
8.06 |
| 20th |
53 |
66 |
31 |
32 |
11 |
4 |
6.79 |
| 30th |
57 |
69 |
31 |
36 |
11 |
3 |
6.32 |
| 40th |
62 |
70 |
32 |
39 |
10 |
3 |
5.66 |
| 50th |
66 |
72 |
32 |
43 |
10 |
3 |
5.18 |
| 60th |
69 |
71 |
31 |
45 |
9 |
3 |
4.70 |
| 70th |
71 |
70 |
30 |
48 |
8 |
2 |
4.18 |
| 80th |
74 |
68 |
29 |
50 |
7 |
2 |
3.77 |
| 90th |
77 |
66 |
27 |
54 |
6 |
1 |
3.16 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
66 |
74 |
32 |
40 |
10 |
3 |
5.38 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
59 |
67 |
28 |
36 |
9 |
3 |
5.45 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
28 |
54 |
60 |
25 |
32 |
8 |
2 |
5.22 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
| 2012 |
29 |
48 |
55 |
22 |
28 |
8 |
2 |
5.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
43 |
50 |
20 |
25 |
7 |
2 |
5.62 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
39 |
45 |
18 |
22 |
6 |
2 |
5.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.