Baseball Projection.com

Shane Lindsay

Age: 24 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 48 52 9 40 40 3 37 34 6.38 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 34 47 38 26 10 4 10.06
20th 37 49 38 29 10 4 9.24
30th 41 50 38 33 10 3 7.90
40th 45 51 39 37 9 3 7.00
50th 48 52 40 40 9 3 6.38
60th 50 51 39 42 8 3 5.76
70th 52 51 38 45 8 2 5.37
80th 54 48 37 48 6 2 4.50
90th 57 47 35 51 5 1 3.63

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 49 50 40 40 8 3 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 44 46 35 36 8 2 6.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 40 42 31 32 7 2 6.01 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 36 37 27 29 6 2 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 32 34 24 26 6 2 6.14 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 29 31 21 23 5 2 6.01 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.