Baseball Projection.com

Scott Linebrink

Age: 32 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 56 60 8 17 43 1 30 28 4.5 59 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 41 54 17 29 9 2 6.80
20th 45 55 17 33 9 2 6.00
30th 49 57 17 36 8 1 5.33
40th 53 58 17 40 8 1 4.75
50th 56 60 17 43 8 1 4.50
60th 58 59 16 45 7 1 4.03
70th 59 59 16 47 7 1 3.97
80th 62 57 15 50 6 0 3.19
90th 64 55 14 53 5 0 2.81

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 57 57 17 46 7 1 4.01 1.0 0.4 1.7
2010 33 51 51 15 41 6 1 3.97 1.0 0.4 1.8
2011 34 46 46 14 36 5 1 3.94 1.0 0.3 1.5
2012 35 41 42 13 31 5 1 4.19 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 36 37 37 12 28 4 1 4.01 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 37 33 34 11 24 4 1 4.27 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.