Jesse Litsch
Age: 24
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 9 |
9 |
167 |
179 |
20 |
44 |
100 |
8 |
86 |
80 |
4.31 |
29 |
29 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
128 |
153 |
40 |
72 |
20 |
8 |
5.34 |
| 20th |
138 |
160 |
41 |
79 |
20 |
8 |
5.02 |
| 30th |
148 |
166 |
42 |
86 |
20 |
8 |
4.74 |
| 40th |
157 |
173 |
43 |
93 |
20 |
8 |
4.53 |
| 50th |
167 |
179 |
44 |
100 |
20 |
8 |
4.31 |
| 60th |
171 |
179 |
43 |
103 |
19 |
8 |
4.11 |
| 70th |
175 |
179 |
43 |
107 |
18 |
7 |
3.91 |
| 80th |
180 |
178 |
42 |
111 |
17 |
7 |
3.65 |
| 90th |
185 |
177 |
40 |
116 |
16 |
6 |
3.36 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 27 |
2.6 |
11.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
168 |
178 |
44 |
106 |
18 |
8 |
4.15 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
11.7 |
| 2010 |
25 |
151 |
160 |
39 |
95 |
16 |
7 |
4.13 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
12.0 |
| 2011 |
26 |
136 |
145 |
34 |
85 |
15 |
6 |
4.16 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
11.7 |
| 2012 |
27 |
122 |
131 |
30 |
76 |
13 |
6 |
4.17 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
11.2 |
| 2013 |
28 |
110 |
118 |
27 |
68 |
12 |
5 |
4.17 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
11.0 |
| 2014 |
29 |
99 |
107 |
24 |
60 |
11 |
5 |
4.23 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
10.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.