Ching Lung Lo
Age: 23
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
5 |
68 |
86 |
15 |
28 |
34 |
3 |
52 |
48 |
6.35 |
14 |
14 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
49 |
78 |
27 |
22 |
17 |
4 |
9.55 |
| 20th |
54 |
79 |
27 |
25 |
16 |
4 |
8.33 |
| 30th |
59 |
82 |
27 |
28 |
16 |
3 |
7.47 |
| 40th |
63 |
84 |
28 |
31 |
15 |
3 |
6.86 |
| 50th |
68 |
86 |
28 |
34 |
15 |
3 |
6.35 |
| 60th |
70 |
85 |
27 |
36 |
14 |
3 |
5.79 |
| 70th |
73 |
84 |
26 |
38 |
13 |
2 |
5.30 |
| 80th |
75 |
82 |
25 |
41 |
12 |
2 |
4.80 |
| 90th |
79 |
79 |
23 |
44 |
10 |
1 |
3.99 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
69 |
84 |
28 |
34 |
14 |
3 |
5.98 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
62 |
75 |
24 |
31 |
13 |
3 |
5.95 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
56 |
67 |
22 |
28 |
11 |
3 |
5.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
51 |
61 |
19 |
25 |
10 |
2 |
5.72 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
46 |
55 |
17 |
23 |
9 |
2 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
41 |
50 |
15 |
20 |
8 |
2 |
5.84 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.