Baseball Projection.com

Kameron Loe

Age: 27 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 56 63 5 20 36 2 31 29 4.66 49 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 43 55 18 25 6 2 5.86
20th 46 56 19 28 5 2 5.28
30th 50 58 19 31 5 2 4.86
40th 53 61 20 33 5 2 4.75
50th 56 63 20 36 5 2 4.66
60th 58 63 20 37 5 2 4.34
70th 60 62 19 39 4 2 3.90
80th 61 62 19 41 4 1 3.69
90th 63 61 18 43 3 1 3.29

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 57 61 20 39 5 2 4.25 1.0 0.2 0.8
2010 28 51 55 18 35 4 2 4.24 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 29 46 50 16 31 4 1 4.28 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 30 42 45 14 28 3 1 4.06 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 31 38 40 13 25 3 1 4.06 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 32 33 37 12 22 3 1 4.54 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.