Baseball Projection.com

Boone Logan

Age: 24 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 3 61 56 5 23 60 3 26 24 3.54 64 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 45 50 22 42 6 4 5.40
20th 49 52 22 47 6 3 4.78
30th 53 54 22 51 6 3 4.42
40th 57 54 23 56 5 3 3.79
50th 61 56 23 60 5 3 3.54
60th 63 56 22 62 5 3 3.43
70th 65 55 22 65 4 2 2.91
80th 67 53 21 68 3 2 2.55
90th 69 51 20 72 2 2 2.22

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 60 58 23 56 5 3 3.87 1.0 0.5 2.1
2010 25 55 53 20 51 5 2 3.82 1.0 0.5 2.3
2011 26 49 47 18 45 4 2 3.75 1.0 0.5 2.5
2012 27 44 43 16 40 4 2 3.91 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 28 40 38 14 36 3 2 3.65 1.1 0.4 2.7
2014 29 36 35 12 32 3 2 3.78 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.