Shane Loux
Age: 29
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
6 |
90 |
107 |
12 |
29 |
42 |
4 |
55 |
51 |
5.1 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
68 |
93 |
27 |
28 |
13 |
5 |
6.75 |
| 20th |
73 |
96 |
28 |
32 |
13 |
5 |
6.29 |
| 30th |
79 |
100 |
28 |
35 |
12 |
4 |
5.70 |
| 40th |
85 |
103 |
29 |
39 |
12 |
4 |
5.40 |
| 50th |
90 |
107 |
29 |
42 |
12 |
4 |
5.10 |
| 60th |
93 |
106 |
28 |
44 |
11 |
4 |
4.74 |
| 70th |
95 |
106 |
28 |
46 |
10 |
3 |
4.45 |
| 80th |
98 |
104 |
27 |
49 |
9 |
3 |
4.04 |
| 90th |
102 |
103 |
25 |
52 |
8 |
2 |
3.62 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
91 |
105 |
30 |
45 |
12 |
4 |
4.95 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
| 2010 |
30 |
81 |
95 |
27 |
40 |
11 |
4 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
31 |
73 |
86 |
25 |
35 |
10 |
3 |
5.13 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2012 |
32 |
66 |
77 |
23 |
31 |
9 |
3 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
33 |
59 |
70 |
21 |
27 |
8 |
3 |
5.24 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
34 |
53 |
62 |
19 |
24 |
7 |
3 |
5.15 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.