Baseball Projection.com

Marvin Lowrance

Age: 24 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
117	417	48	95	22	1	10	49	3	1	45	119	2	0.228	0.306	0.357	-25	OF	4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-13	0	130	25	5	0	2	11	41	0	0.192	0.255	0.277
20th	-19	0	203	40	8	0	3	19	63	0	0.197	0.266	0.281
30th	-21	0	275	57	12	0	5	27	83	1	0.207	0.281	0.305
40th	-21	0	346	76	17	1	8	35	102	2	0.220	0.295	0.344
50th	-19	0	417	95	22	1	10	45	119	2	0.228	0.306	0.357
60th	-14	2	448	108	26	2	13	51	125	3	0.241	0.323	0.395
70th	-8	9	478	120	30	2	15	58	129	4	0.251	0.337	0.416
80th	1	19	509	133	35	3	17	64	134	5	0.261	0.349	0.442
90th	8	28	539	147	40	4	20	71	138	6	0.273	0.364	0.473

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	419	94	22	1	10	3	1	43	125	2	0.224	0.300	0.353
2010	25	418	95	23	1	11	3	1	44	122	2	0.227	0.304	0.366
2011	26	416	95	23	1	11	3	1	46	118	2	0.228	0.308	0.368
2012	27	415	95	23	1	11	3	1	47	117	2	0.229	0.310	0.369
2013	28	414	94	23	1	11	3	1	48	117	2	0.227	0.310	0.367
2014	29	413	92	22	1	11	2	1	49	117	2	0.223	0.308	0.361

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	-3	-12	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.9	4
Good (+7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	4

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.