Noah Lowry
Age: 28
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
105 |
116 |
11 |
49 |
61 |
4 |
62 |
57 |
4.89 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
78 |
102 |
46 |
41 |
13 |
5 |
6.81 |
| 20th |
85 |
105 |
46 |
46 |
12 |
5 |
6.14 |
| 30th |
92 |
109 |
47 |
52 |
12 |
4 |
5.58 |
| 40th |
99 |
112 |
48 |
56 |
11 |
4 |
5.09 |
| 50th |
105 |
116 |
49 |
61 |
11 |
4 |
4.89 |
| 60th |
108 |
115 |
48 |
64 |
10 |
4 |
4.58 |
| 70th |
112 |
114 |
47 |
67 |
9 |
3 |
4.18 |
| 80th |
115 |
113 |
46 |
70 |
8 |
3 |
3.83 |
| 90th |
119 |
110 |
44 |
75 |
6 |
2 |
3.33 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
105 |
117 |
49 |
58 |
12 |
4 |
5.03 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
| 2010 |
29 |
94 |
106 |
44 |
52 |
11 |
4 |
5.13 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
30 |
85 |
95 |
40 |
46 |
10 |
3 |
5.07 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
31 |
76 |
86 |
37 |
41 |
9 |
3 |
5.21 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
32 |
68 |
77 |
34 |
36 |
8 |
3 |
5.26 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
33 |
61 |
70 |
31 |
32 |
7 |
2 |
5.31 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.