Baseball Projection.com

Jonathan Lucroy

Age: 23 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
64	244	24	56	11	1	7	35	2	1	20	63	2	0.230	0.293	0.369	-28	C	3.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-4	0	34	6	1	0	0	2	10	0	0.176	0.222	0.206
20th	-9	0	87	17	3	0	2	6	25	0	0.195	0.247	0.299
30th	-12	0	141	29	5	0	3	10	39	0	0.206	0.258	0.305
40th	-13	0	193	43	8	1	5	14	51	1	0.223	0.279	0.352
50th	-12	0	244	56	11	1	7	20	63	2	0.230	0.293	0.369
60th	-11	1	330	80	16	2	10	28	82	3	0.242	0.307	0.394
70th	-6	9	413	105	22	3	14	38	99	4	0.254	0.323	0.424
80th	1	19	496	133	29	5	19	48	115	6	0.268	0.340	0.462
90th	12	33	576	162	37	7	24	60	129	8	0.281	0.357	0.495

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	23	246	57	11	1	6	2	1	18	62	2	0.232	0.289	0.358
2010	24	245	59	12	1	7	3	1	19	59	2	0.241	0.301	0.384
2011	25	244	59	12	1	7	3	1	20	58	2	0.242	0.305	0.385
2012	26	244	59	12	1	7	2	1	20	56	2	0.242	0.305	0.385
2013	27	243	59	12	1	7	2	1	21	56	2	0.243	0.308	0.387
2014	28	243	58	12	1	7	2	1	21	56	2	0.239	0.305	0.383

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.6	7
Good (+7 runs)	1.3	5.7
Average (0 runs)	1	4.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.5	2.2

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	6
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	19

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.