Baseball Projection.com

Daniel Lyons

Age: 24 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
55	215	26	49	11	2	2	30	4	1	20	63	2	0.228	0.300	0.326	-34	SS	5.2

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-7	0	57	10	2	0	0	4	19	0	0.175	0.230	0.211
20th	-11	0	97	18	3	0	0	7	31	1	0.186	0.248	0.216
30th	-12	0	137	28	6	1	1	11	43	1	0.204	0.268	0.285
40th	-15	0	176	38	8	1	1	15	53	2	0.216	0.285	0.290
50th	-13	0	215	49	11	2	2	20	63	2	0.228	0.300	0.326
60th	-14	0	310	74	17	3	4	31	88	4	0.239	0.316	0.352
70th	-13	1	404	101	24	4	6	42	111	6	0.250	0.330	0.374
80th	-5	13	496	130	33	6	8	55	132	9	0.262	0.346	0.401
90th	2	23	587	161	42	9	11	69	151	12	0.274	0.362	0.433

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	216	48	11	2	2	4	1	19	66	2	0.222	0.291	0.319
2010	25	215	48	11	1	2	4	1	20	64	2	0.223	0.295	0.312
2011	26	215	48	11	1	2	4	1	20	62	2	0.223	0.295	0.312
2012	27	214	48	11	1	2	4	1	21	62	2	0.224	0.300	0.313
2013	28	214	47	11	1	2	3	1	21	62	2	0.220	0.295	0.308
2014	29	213	46	11	1	2	3	1	22	62	2	0.216	0.295	0.305

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.3	5.7
Good (+7 runs)	0.9	4
Average (0 runs)	0.7	3.1
Poor (-7 runs)	0.4	1.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	8

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.