Evan MacLane
Age: 26
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
99 |
116 |
19 |
29 |
55 |
3 |
63 |
58 |
5.27 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
74 |
102 |
28 |
38 |
20 |
4 |
7.18 |
| 20th |
80 |
106 |
28 |
42 |
20 |
4 |
6.64 |
| 30th |
87 |
109 |
28 |
47 |
19 |
3 |
6.00 |
| 40th |
93 |
112 |
29 |
51 |
19 |
3 |
5.61 |
| 50th |
99 |
116 |
29 |
55 |
19 |
3 |
5.27 |
| 60th |
102 |
115 |
28 |
57 |
18 |
3 |
4.94 |
| 70th |
105 |
114 |
28 |
60 |
17 |
2 |
4.63 |
| 80th |
108 |
113 |
26 |
63 |
16 |
2 |
4.25 |
| 90th |
112 |
110 |
25 |
67 |
14 |
1 |
3.70 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
100 |
114 |
28 |
53 |
18 |
3 |
5.05 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
| 2010 |
27 |
90 |
103 |
25 |
47 |
16 |
3 |
5.06 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
28 |
81 |
93 |
22 |
42 |
14 |
3 |
5.04 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
29 |
73 |
84 |
20 |
37 |
13 |
2 |
5.07 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
30 |
66 |
76 |
18 |
33 |
12 |
2 |
5.10 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
31 |
59 |
68 |
16 |
30 |
10 |
2 |
5.03 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.