Baseball Projection.com

Daryl Maday

Age: 23 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 58 68 10 29 38 3 41 38 5.9 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 42 63 28 24 12 4 9.21
20th 46 64 28 28 12 4 8.22
30th 51 65 28 31 11 3 6.88
40th 54 66 29 35 10 3 6.33
50th 58 68 29 38 10 3 5.90
60th 60 67 28 40 9 3 5.25
70th 63 66 27 43 8 2 4.57
80th 65 64 26 45 7 2 4.15
90th 69 61 24 49 5 1 3.26

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 58 69 29 36 11 3 6.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 53 62 26 34 10 2 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 47 56 23 30 9 2 6.02 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 43 50 20 27 8 2 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 38 45 18 24 7 2 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 34 41 16 21 7 2 6.19 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.