Baseball Projection.com

Christopher Malone

Age: 26 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 30 36 5 16 20 1 22 20 6 28 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 21 32 16 13 6 2 9.43
20th 24 34 16 15 6 1 8.25
30th 26 34 16 16 5 1 6.92
40th 28 35 16 18 5 1 6.43
50th 30 36 16 20 5 1 6.00
60th 31 36 16 21 5 1 5.52
70th 32 35 15 22 4 1 5.06
80th 34 34 14 24 3 0 3.97
90th 35 33 13 26 3 0 3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 30 35 16 20 5 1 5.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 28 31 14 18 4 1 5.25 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 25 29 12 16 4 1 5.59 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 22 26 11 14 3 1 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 20 23 10 13 3 1 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 18 21 9 11 3 1 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.