Shaun Marcum
Age: 27
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 8 |
8 |
139 |
135 |
20 |
45 |
111 |
6 |
70 |
65 |
4.21 |
27 |
27 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
106 |
116 |
41 |
81 |
20 |
7 |
5.26 |
| 20th |
115 |
121 |
42 |
89 |
20 |
6 |
4.85 |
| 30th |
123 |
126 |
43 |
96 |
20 |
6 |
4.61 |
| 40th |
131 |
130 |
44 |
104 |
20 |
6 |
4.40 |
| 50th |
139 |
135 |
45 |
111 |
20 |
6 |
4.21 |
| 60th |
142 |
135 |
45 |
114 |
19 |
6 |
3.99 |
| 70th |
146 |
135 |
44 |
118 |
19 |
5 |
3.76 |
| 80th |
150 |
133 |
43 |
123 |
17 |
5 |
3.42 |
| 90th |
154 |
131 |
42 |
128 |
16 |
4 |
3.21 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 26 |
2.5 |
11.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
140 |
133 |
45 |
117 |
18 |
6 |
3.96 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
11.3 |
| 2010 |
28 |
126 |
120 |
40 |
105 |
16 |
5 |
3.94 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
11.1 |
| 2011 |
29 |
113 |
109 |
35 |
93 |
15 |
5 |
4.02 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
10.6 |
| 2012 |
30 |
102 |
98 |
32 |
83 |
13 |
4 |
3.97 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
10.6 |
| 2013 |
31 |
91 |
89 |
29 |
73 |
12 |
4 |
4.10 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
9.8 |
| 2014 |
32 |
82 |
80 |
27 |
65 |
11 |
4 |
4.15 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
9.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.