Jason Marquis
Age: 30
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 8 |
10 |
164 |
193 |
21 |
69 |
85 |
9 |
105 |
97 |
5.32 |
29 |
29 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
126 |
164 |
61 |
61 |
21 |
9 |
6.50 |
| 20th |
135 |
171 |
63 |
67 |
21 |
9 |
6.20 |
| 30th |
145 |
178 |
65 |
73 |
21 |
9 |
5.77 |
| 40th |
155 |
186 |
67 |
79 |
21 |
9 |
5.52 |
| 50th |
164 |
193 |
69 |
85 |
21 |
9 |
5.32 |
| 60th |
168 |
193 |
69 |
88 |
20 |
9 |
5.09 |
| 70th |
172 |
194 |
68 |
91 |
19 |
8 |
4.87 |
| 80th |
177 |
193 |
67 |
95 |
18 |
7 |
4.58 |
| 90th |
182 |
192 |
65 |
99 |
17 |
7 |
4.25 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 13 |
1.2 |
5.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
166 |
188 |
68 |
85 |
20 |
9 |
5.04 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.2 |
| 2010 |
31 |
149 |
170 |
63 |
75 |
18 |
8 |
5.12 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
| 2011 |
32 |
134 |
153 |
57 |
66 |
16 |
7 |
5.12 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
| 2012 |
33 |
120 |
137 |
53 |
59 |
14 |
7 |
5.16 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
34 |
108 |
124 |
48 |
52 |
13 |
6 |
5.22 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
35 |
97 |
112 |
44 |
46 |
12 |
5 |
5.29 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.