Baseball Projection.com

Jeff Marquez

Age: 24 Team: CHA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
4	7	93	115	17	39	44	4	67	62	6	18	18

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	70	99	36	30	17	5	7.71
20th	75	103	37	33	17	5	7.32
30th	82	107	37	37	17	4	6.59
40th	87	111	38	41	17	4	6.31
50th	93	115	39	44	17	4	6.00
60th	96	115	38	46	16	4	5.53
70th	98	115	38	48	16	3	5.33
80th	101	113	37	51	14	3	4.90
90th	105	111	35	54	13	2	4.37

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 95 109 39 47 14 4 5.25 1.0 0.3 1.3

2010 25 86 98 34 42 13 4 5.21 1.0 0.3 1.4

2011 26 77 89 30 38 12 4 5.32 1.0 0.2 1.0

2012 27 70 80 27 34 11 3 5.23 1.0 0.3 1.7

2013 28 63 73 23 30 10 3 5.27 1.0 0.2 1.2

2014 29 56 66 21 27 9 3 5.43 1.0 0.1 0.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
6	0.6	3.0

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	95	109	39	47	14	4	5.25	1.0	0.3	1.3
2010	25	86	98	34	42	13	4	5.21	1.0	0.3	1.4
2011	26	77	89	30	38	12	4	5.32	1.0	0.2	1.0
2012	27	70	80	27	34	11	3	5.23	1.0	0.3	1.7
2013	28	63	73	23	30	10	3	5.27	1.0	0.2	1.2
2014	29	56	66	21	27	9	3	5.43	1.0	0.1	0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.