Baseball Projection.com

Damaso Marte

Age: 34 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 2 50 47 4 22 48 2 23 21 3.78 65 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 37 42 21 33 5 3 5.59
20th 41 44 21 37 5 2 5.05
30th 44 44 21 41 4 2 4.30
40th 47 46 22 44 4 2 4.02
50th 50 47 22 48 4 2 3.78
60th 51 47 22 50 4 2 3.71
70th 53 46 21 52 3 2 3.23
80th 55 45 20 55 3 1 2.95
90th 57 44 19 58 2 1 2.53

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 51 45 23 51 4 2 3.58 1.2 0.7 2.9
2010 35 45 41 21 45 3 2 3.68 1.1 0.5 2.5
2011 36 41 37 19 39 3 2 3.70 1.1 0.4 2.1
2012 37 36 34 18 35 3 1 4.00 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 38 33 31 16 30 3 1 4.01 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 39 29 27 15 27 2 1 3.90 1.0 0.2 1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.